mutual insurance. responsibility. what's your policy? introducing the new droid razr maxx hd by motorola. now more than ever droid does. >> the biggest advantage that president obama has, is the fact that he is currently president of the united states. incumbent. only five presidents in the past century lost reelection for a second term. let's take a look and see why they lost their elections and if the president should be worried. right now, joining us from d.c. is presidential historian, nick, good morning to you. >> good morning, steve. >> steve: let's go back to george herbert walker bush, president 41, he lost because? >> he got hit with a poor economy and it's unfortunate, if you look in the fourth quarter of 1992, actually we grew at 4%. if that election had been a few weeks later, he probably would have won. he was at 90% in the polls 18 months before that and then the recession hit, but we started coming out of it, he just was the product of bad fortune, i think, more than anything and clinton was a good candidate. >> steve: nick, i think you're avoiding the elephant in the roo